Prediction #83
In World Affairs, consterdine considers...
Iran will launch a nuclear missile at Israel in 2009
Note: This prediction has now closed, and is waiting for consterdine to confirm the final outcome
I forecast it 75% likely
Israel is being as rash and insensitive as it can in it's destruction of Gaza City. Iran is looking for a reason to create an explosive act on the World stage. I hope my prediction is wrong.
What do you think? Share your opinion and make a prediction!
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Forecast
history (rollover individual forecasts to see details)
Worldwide forecast activity
49 current forecasts
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JohnBee forecast it as 0% likely, 3 months ago
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PAUL10071972 forecast it as 0% likely, 4 months ago
Success rate: 11% | Status: Chump
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aaronvsmith forecast it as 0% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 10% | Status: Chump
They wish they had one!
If they had one they would have already done it!
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amild73 forecast it as 0% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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CuriousCrystal forecast it as 50% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 8% | Status: Chump
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martin82 forecast it as 4% likely, 6 months ago
Success rate: 18% | Status: Chump
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clamcyp forecast it as 7% likely, 6 months ago
Success rate: 13% | Status: Chump
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Joana_Luar forecast it as 85% likely, 7 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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Fusedhead forecast it as 1% likely, 9 months ago
Success rate: 25% | Status: Chump
Crazy yes, stupid.. No
Even tough Iran is looking for a reason to create an explosive act on the World stage, they would rather extort the world and US like North Korea for money and food etc. Not to mention they haven't even produced enough weapon grade Plutonium yet to make a Nuke. So as far as it happening in 09, not a chance.
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okamalo forecast it as 1% likely, 9 months ago
Success rate: 25% | Status: Grasshopper
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StephenFleitas forecast it as 15% likely, 9 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
Summer '09
This will most likely not happen, It will be the other way around though. BTW! Iran is NO Iraq and a military confrontation between the two will set the region up in flames... Iran has already developed a sold fuel, sectional missile. ICBM's are created in this format and nuclear weapons are usually placed on them. Iran has successfully fired one of these rockets. It can reach as far as Moscow, as well as Southern Italy... Tel Avive will be the first place bombs fall, if Iran is attacked. BTW these missiles aren't puny Hezzbollah or Hamas ones.... they are HUGE!!!
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LeThaiDuong forecast it as 50% likely, 11 months ago
Success rate: 25% | Status: Grasshopper
maybe :D
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squirrel forecast it as 50% likely, 11 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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JonnyBGood forecast it as 3% likely, 11 months ago
Success rate: 21% | Status: Grasshopper
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spacewren forecast it as 30% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 13% | Status: Grasshopper | My Twitter page
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graatz forecast it as 0% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 32% | Status: Rookie With Moves
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IRAN WILL NOT STRIKE FIRST THEY WILL WAIT UNTIL ISRAEL STRIKES FIRST