Prediction #67
In World Affairs, theophilus wonders...
Will Israel attack Iran's nuclear facilities in 2009
Note: This prediction has now closed, and is waiting for theophilus to confirm the final outcome
I forecast it 30% likely. Israel will attack Iran in 2009
With Israel losing International support and Obama entering into the Oval Office Israel may launch a pre-emptive strike into Iran. Recently Israel asked the Bush Administration for military support to perform a pre-emptive strike but was turned down 3 times. Israel will continue to request support during Obama's Administration but may proceed alone to prevent Iran from aquiring nuclear weapons. However, a pre-emptive strike will be difficult without support from the U.S. If Iran does aquire nukes we will see the prophecy of Ezekiel 36 become a reality.
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Forecast
history (rollover individual forecasts to see details)
Worldwide forecast activity
35 current forecasts
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MattDoolan forecast it as 75% likely, 2 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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ybot1b forecast it as 100% likely, 2 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
Title Deed
Tomorrow 12-15-2009 Boom!!!
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JohnBee forecast it as 0% likely, 3 months ago
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MiOtroBlog forecast it as 1% likely, 4 months ago
Success rate: 28% | Status: Rookie With Moves
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PAUL10071972 forecast it as 0% likely, 4 months ago
Success rate: 11% | Status: Chump
ISRAEL
ISRAEL WONT STRIKE IRAN IN 2009 IT WILL TAKE PLACE IN 2010
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moochie forecast it as 20% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
20% in 2009; 90% in 2010
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jazzye4 forecast it as 2% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 4% | Status: Newbie | My site
unfortunatly no, they lack the strong US support now tat the obama is in orifice
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amild73 forecast it as 18% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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ColinPeach forecast it as 100% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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CuriousCrystal forecast it as 70% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 8% | Status: Chump
Israel Very Quiet -- Bad Sign for Iran
Let's see. Second nuclear facility, test launches of missiles, "eliminate Israel" rhetoric at UN. Israel will likely attack the Iranian facilities this year. Obama may persuade them to delay a little, but US will ultimately do nothing. Israel will finally take action.
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miller2222 forecast it as 60% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 20% | Status: Grasshopper
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aaronvsmith forecast it as 0% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 10% | Status: Chump
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Hilikus forecast it as 33% likely, 6 months ago
Success rate: 16% | Status: Visionary
Not quite yet.
The U.N. will not support Israels attacks on Iran. Wait until Isreal rebuilds there great temple, than once Iran nukes that we are bound to see some nukes pour!
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HASHKAAN forecast it as 50% likely, 6 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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okamalo forecast it as 1% likely, 9 months ago
Success rate: 25% | Status: Grasshopper
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StephenFleitas forecast it as 100% likely, 9 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
Summer '09
With the activation of the nuclear power plant possibly occuring as early as late August and a new Iranian Administration coming into power Israel will have to attack at that time. If Obama fails to make a positive step forward with the new Iranian Administration and not stop its activation of the nuclear power plant by diplomacey there will be a window of minimal time to use an attack. Israel will want to attack nuclear facilities that are 100% operational in order to minimize nuclear fall out. This of course would force Iran to retaliate and many military figures in Iran, Israel, and the US have agreed that Israel can and will proceed to attack Iran.
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The group forecast
66.0%
likelihood
from
35
forecasts
The outcome of this prediction is not yet known
- Based on 35 forecasts
- Bonus for group success: 350 Future Minutes
- Ended: 01 Jan 2010, 03:26 AM (GMT +00:00)
- Added: about 1 year ago
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Israel must attack Iran to ensure its future safety. I don't believe they will listen any further to the USA. A rumour I heard was that Russia would try to prevent a strike but I think this is unlikely. I don't think Syria is capable of countering any strike.