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Note: This prediction has now closed, and is waiting for MonkeyMagic to confirm the final outcome

Source: Kindle 2

I forecast it 67% likely. A single use device worth the big price tag?

Amazon will today announce the launch of their Amazon Kindle 2 ebook. The new and improved version fixes several issues with the Kindle 1 and beefs up the feature list. Leaked photos make it out to be a super sleek portable design.

Whilst no one can argue that the ebook market is growing quickly, does anyone really want to shell out $349 for a dedicated ebook reader when they can get a iPhone, smartphone or event netbook laptop for almost the same price? The Kindle is a single use device where as an iPhone has a million other possibilities. See a good debate here at Techcrunch.

Sony and Amazon both have competing products in the ebook market. Sony has the PRS-700BC which boasts touch screen but no wireless connectivity.

So does this product have a long term future or is it a pre-cursor to bettering ebook services on other mobile gadget and devices? Let's see if if folds by this time next year.

• 

  MiOtroBlog forecast it as 0% likely, about 1 month ago

  Success rate: 28% | Status: Rookie With Moves

• 

  JohnBee forecast it as 50% likely, about 1 month ago

  Success rate: 17% | Status: Chump | My site

• 

  simpattyco forecast it as 69% likely, about 1 month ago

  Success rate: 13% | Status: Grasshopper

• 

  Hilikus forecast it as 55% likely, 6 months ago

  Success rate: 16% | Status: Visionary

  They have options..
  Imagine Amazon, and Microsoft together.. Add in Yahoo, and you have one amazing device. They could sell their device for a G, or up, and still take down the market. Amazon just needs a partner or two.
• 

  PaulBuchman forecast it as 10% likely, 6 months ago

  Success rate: 25% | Status: Chump

  Kindle 2, Kindle 3 and Kindle 4
  Kindle 2 will prepare the ground for the success of e-ink, Kindle 3 will be a commercial success, Kindle 4 will be a losing deal as e-ink / e-book will be a common feature of the mobile multi purpose device that we call cell phone today.
• 

  thegreatkevste forecast it as 90% likely, 8 months ago

  Success rate: 22% | Status: Grasshopper

• 

  matteo forecast it as 11% likely, 8 months ago

  Success rate: 20% | Status: Oracle

• 

  cshepherd forecast it as 15% likely, 10 months ago

  Success rate: 22% | Status: Rookie With Moves

• 

  dolemanm forecast it as 67% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 45% | Status: Grasshopper

• 

  EAPresley forecast it as 23% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 7% | Status: Chump

  I think there is a market
  For anyone not with an iphone or not wanting to invest in a laptop. Think of the holiday market and silver surfers our there.
• 

  Vicissitudes2 forecast it as 5% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 18% | Status: Grasshopper

• 

  graatz forecast it as 25% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 32% | Status: Rookie With Moves

• 

  hermox forecast it as 13% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 25% | Status: Rookie With Moves

• 

  joeforce forecast it as 3% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 20% | Status: Chump

• 

  thewan forecast it as 100% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie

  
  carrying 3000 mp3 is mad enough. Whats the point in carrying 3000 books! Imagine the kindle in Shuffle mode!
• 

  lovehermadly forecast it as 83% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 13% | Status: Chump

  Probably
  I wasn't really that interested in it.... i'm not sure why anyone else would be. I mean there are e-books for your palm,, and you didn't see poeple downloading those like mad.

The outcome of this prediction is not yet known

• Based on 21 forecasts
• Bonus for group success: 210 Future Minutes
• Ended: 09 Feb 2010, 09:00 AM (GMT +00:00)
• Added: about 1 year ago

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