Prediction #101
In Technology, Haunted postulates...
Will AOL continue to worsen and die?
Note: This prediction has now closed, and is waiting for Haunted to confirm the final outcome
I forecast it 50% likely. If reliability doesn't stip right away death
Wilth the feedback and lack of intersets in AOL and it changing but not for the better I only see other Search and Browsers killing it by simple quality issues.
What do you think? Share your opinion and make a prediction!
This is prediction is closed. No further forecasts are permitted, but why not browse more predictions in Technology.
Forecast
history (rollover individual forecasts to see details)
Worldwide forecast activity
18 current forecasts
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HNhereandnow forecast it as 10% likely, about 1 month ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie | My Twitter page
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DavidLashchuk forecast it as 90% likely, 2 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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jazzye4 forecast it as 74% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 4% | Status: Newbie | My site
mac compatable, upgrades.. it'll stay
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aaronvsmith forecast it as 100% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 10% | Status: Chump
AOL stole $30 bucks from me once
what comes around goes around!
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Hilikus forecast it as 77% likely, 6 months ago
Success rate: 16% | Status: Visionary
Most Likely..
Like, how much money do they have in reserves anyways? I don't think anyone would want to buy them out. Good luck AOL! I loved A.I.M. back in the day lol.
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thegreatkevste forecast it as 81% likely, 8 months ago
Success rate: 22% | Status: Grasshopper
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andygalloway93 forecast it as 100% likely, 11 months ago
Success rate: 16% | Status: Newbie
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JonnyBGood forecast it as 2% likely, 11 months ago
Success rate: 21% | Status: Grasshopper
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jkthekelly forecast it as 56% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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srings forecast it as 50% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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sunshine forecast it as 50% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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RySenkari forecast it as 30% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 25% | Status: Chump
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mersenne forecast it as 50% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 16% | Status: Chump
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rafalb forecast it as 56% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 10% | Status: Chump
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simpattyco forecast it as 35% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 13% | Status: Grasshopper
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Tomwalked forecast it as 70% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 10% | Status: Grasshopper
worsen yes... die no.
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The group forecast
37.0%
likelihood
from
18
forecasts
The outcome of this prediction is not yet known
- Based on 18 forecasts
- Bonus for group success: 180 Future Minutes
- Ended: 22 Jan 2010, 12:14 PM (GMT +00:00)
- Added: about 1 year ago
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Yes...like a victim with cancer and the best medicine money can buy, AOL will not be bought or transform. AOL is going to die. The technology that birthed AOL as grown, evolved, mutated and reorganized itself into models that AOL could never hope to achieve on its own. It would take a merger with someone like Google or Verizon to save it and at that point AOL (internet with training wheels) would cease to exist in a form that anyone would recognize. The new models of technology that allow access to the internet that exist and that are, coming available with negate AOL's need soon. Kinda sad actually. I had an AOL account from 95 to 2000.