Prediction #72
In Politics, plarkin ponders...
Will Barack Obama be re-elected in the next elections?
Note: This prediction has now closed, and is waiting for plarkin to confirm the final outcome
I forecast it 50% likely
Barack Obama is perhaps the best thing to happen in american politics since Kennedy. But his presidency will last only one term. The issues he faces over the next term are extreme and voters hopes will not meet their unrealistic expectations. The Republicans will win by a narrow margin.
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Forecast
history (rollover individual forecasts to see details)
Worldwide forecast activity
50 current forecasts
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McStradamus forecast it as 50% likely, about 1 month ago
Success rate: 20% | Status: Chump
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theguyyo forecast it as 30% likely, about 1 month ago
Success rate: 26% | Status: Rookie With Moves
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whatamithinking forecast it as 0% likely, about 1 month ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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smitty forecast it as 0% likely, about 1 month ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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moncheche forecast it as 10% likely, about 1 month ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
Best thing since Kennedy? Check the oxygen levels in your house. WHAT has he done? SPEND TRILLIONS>
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dadeeee forecast it as 50% likely, about 1 month ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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latice forecast it as 78% likely, 2 months ago
Success rate: 12% | Status: Newbie
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DarKat forecast it as 20% likely, 2 months ago
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moochie forecast it as 0% likely, 4 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
Too radical; too socialist....
...panders too much to nations incompatible with US interests; spends too much money, his policies will take away choice and liberty, he will make government too big. There will be an uprising of not only the right but of the broad middle and independants.
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theIronMan forecast it as 100% likely, 4 months ago
Success rate: 30% | Status: Rookie With Moves
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jazzye4 forecast it as 0% likely, 4 months ago
Success rate: 2% | Status: Newbie | My site
hope the heck not but ... then there is the society that elected the obama
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CuriousCrystal forecast it as 33% likely, 4 months ago
Success rate: 8% | Status: Chump
Deep Problems Now. Who will Challenge?
the national and global problems are significant, and long-term. Obama's policies will worsen the economic malaise. But, he is charismatic, and Republicans have no challenger, yet.
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aaronvsmith forecast it as 50% likely, 4 months ago
Success rate: 9% | Status: Chump
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okdrl28 forecast it as 0% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
Obama's chance for re-election
Isn't meant to be, unfortunately or should I say fortunately people are waking up to what they elected to office, they will demand a third choice in 2012.
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mustangluver forecast it as 25% likely, 6 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie | My site
Time to wake up now
BO is the worst pres ever! He did nothing for his state, has no political track record, worst voting record in history, no experience, especially in foreign affairs and military. He has repeatedly insulted this nation and has told many lies.He is a neo-Nationalist Socialist. He had his records sealed and refuses to make them public. He will destroy the middle class and small businesses. His universal healthcare plan will kill off a lot of ppl, especially the elderly. He has done nothing but raise taxes!!! He should be impeached and very soon!
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myqute forecast it as 35% likely, 6 months ago
Success rate: 6% | Status: Chump | My Twitter page
Will Barack Obama be re-elected in the next
Yes, if ppl still trust him. No, if he ends up assasinated.
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The group forecast
42.0%
likelihood
from
50
forecasts
The outcome of this prediction is not yet known
- Based on 50 forecasts
- Bonus for group success: 500 Future Minutes
- Ended: 14 Jan 2010, 10:49 AM (GMT +00:00)
- Added: about 1 year ago
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he has done things that are unconstitutional. for example the health care bill that they passed on Christmas eve was something we didn't need. about 85% of Americans have health care and 80% of Americans are happy with the health care they have. then if you don.t believe me there are not many democrats that are in congress that will get re-elected to their area of power in congress. the American government is by the people and for the people and the democrats in congress are not doing what the people want.