Prediction #145
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In Politics, FunkyDrummer questions...
Will Obama attack North Korea before they nuke us all?
I forecast it 51% likely. It's old school nukes all the way
North Korea (officially Democratic People's Republic of Korea), last bastion of communism. Obsessed with power, intimidation and lead by the crazed Kim Jong-il (funny overview here).
On May 25, 2009, North Korea announced that it had conducted a second nuclear test (first in 2006) which attracted outrage and critisism from countries around the world.
Slightly more worrying is that according to Sky News North Korea has a boat load of nukes pointed at the US:
North Korea has at least 100 nuclear missiles aimed at the United States and will use them if new economic sanctions are imposed against it, a spokesman claims.
It's lunacy. See the full timeline of the nuclear weapons crisis over at the BBC.
The US hopes to encourage North Korea to back down on its nuclear weapons program and is collaborating with South Korea, Japan, China and Russia to establish a new dialogue.
So, will the US take military action against North Korea?
What do you think? Share your opinion and make a prediction!
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Forecast
history (rollover individual forecasts to see details)
Worldwide forecast activity
19 current forecasts
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spacewren forecast it as 0% likely, about 1 month ago
Success rate: 13% | Status: Grasshopper | My Twitter page
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OzzmonLewis forecast it as 50% likely, about 1 month ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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Access forecast it as 0% likely, about 1 month ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
What a joke.
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humptidumpti forecast it as 9% likely, about 1 month ago
Success rate: 4% | Status: Newbie
To much of a liberal
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DavidLashchuk forecast it as 17% likely, 2 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
Obama is not Bush
The only scenario this could happen is under a preemptive strike that would come with almost no warning to the Prez and NO warning to the public. This scenario would not be politically motivated, but a crisis situation such as averting the original invasion of Kuwait by Iraq in 91.
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MattDoolan forecast it as 5% likely, 2 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
Obama prefers to talk rather than fight
Obama would not launch an attack on Nth Korea. Even the recent troop surge in Afganistan is a preparation to start withdrawal. That not to say that the western miltary should even be in the Middle East in the first place. Lets face it, terrorism is the last desparate act for those who have no power or hope of victory. Nth Korea and Iran do have actual ability to make significant strikes against the west. That where we should be directing our attention.
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amild73 forecast it as 0% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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aaronvsmith forecast it as 0% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 10% | Status: Chump
he doesn't have the audacity!
nor will he be around to do it!
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Hilikus forecast it as 50% likely, 6 months ago
Success rate: 16% | Status: Visionary
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smitty forecast it as 0% likely, 7 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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IGadget forecast it as 12% likely, 7 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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thegreatkevste forecast it as 8% likely, 8 months ago
Success rate: 22% | Status: Grasshopper
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matteo forecast it as 10% likely, 8 months ago
Success rate: 20% | Status: Oracle
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kayla8 forecast it as 83% likely, 9 months ago
Success rate: 11% | Status: Wonder Child
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simpattyco forecast it as 26% likely, 9 months ago
Success rate: 13% | Status: Grasshopper
no way
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martin82 forecast it as 50% likely, 9 months ago
Success rate: 18% | Status: Chump
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