Prediction #116
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In Politics, FunkyDrummer considers...
Will John McCain live through Obama's first term?
I forecast it 48% likely. Not if the polls tell you so
The Alternative universe that could have been...
During the run up to the US presidential elections the world was constantly reminded that Sarah Palin was 'only a heartbeat away' from the presidency if the Republicans won the election.
So, simply put, do you think John McCain will survive Obama's first term? This prediction, despite being a little morbid serves as a reminder of the alternative Republican universe that could have been...
Sarah Palin, president?
If McCain would have won the election and passed away during his first term of course wild eyed Sarah Palin would have been US president. Let's not forget her media mocking and some of her best moments (see video below).
Election 2012
This prediction is set to end around about the time of the next US election in 2012, at the end of Obama's first term.
Will Palin be back? She seemed to think so in her first post-election interview. Yikes.
As for who will win the next election, get a low down on the odds here. Betfair also has a nice review.
So, let's watch and see...
What do you think? Share your opinion and make a prediction!
Use the slider your make your forecast for this prediction and hit the 'Forecast it!' button.
Forecast
history (rollover individual forecasts to see details)
Worldwide forecast activity
14 current forecasts
-
Whatyouneedtoknw forecast it as 90% likely, 4 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
-
aaronvsmith forecast it as 100% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 10% | Status: Chump
-
Hilikus forecast it as 91% likely, 6 months ago
Success rate: 16% | Status: Visionary
LOL
His mom is still going for the gold right?
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thegreatkevste forecast it as 86% likely, 8 months ago
Success rate: 22% | Status: Grasshopper
-
cshepherd forecast it as 50% likely, 10 months ago
Success rate: 22% | Status: Rookie With Moves
-
mersenne forecast it as 70% likely, 11 months ago
Success rate: 16% | Status: Chump
-
Vicissitudes2 forecast it as 85% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 18% | Status: Grasshopper
-
ghathaway3 forecast it as 75% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 20% | Status: Fortune Cookie
McCain will be here
He looks and acts younger than when he was running the campaign. Being back in the senate has energized him. After Jindal's performance, Palin's stock has gone up,. She is not as stupid as she has been portrayed. Somehow being from Alaska and having a working class background disqualified her for higher office.
-
Amphibianman94 forecast it as 96% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 8% | Status: Newbie
His mother
His mother died in her 90s, i think? Plus he's in a pretty good shape for his age.
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graatz forecast it as 60% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 32% | Status: Rookie With Moves
-
bbuck153 forecast it as 90% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
-
hermox forecast it as 9% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 25% | Status: Rookie With Moves
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sandhya forecast it as 99% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 8% | Status: Newbie | My Twitter page | My FriendFeed
He is in better shape than most
I would be interested to see what the age is of people responding to this..I for one am a baby boomer and I am constantly seeing people in their 20's saying how old we are....gee thanks.....
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FunkyDrummer forecast it as 48% likely, about 1 year ago
Success rate: 9% | Status: Fortune Cookie | My site | My Twitter page | My FriendFeed
Not if the polls tell you so
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The group forecast
78.0%
likelihood
from
14
forecasts
The outcome of this prediction is not yet known
- Based on 14 forecasts
- Bonus for group success: 140 Future Minutes
- Ends: 30 Oct 2012, 02:32 AM (GMT +00:00)
- Time left: over 2 years
- Added: about 1 year ago
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He also likes good looking women!