EventPrediction #95

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In Business, erkur1 postulates...

Will American economy collapse in 2010?

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Note: This prediction has now closed, and is waiting for erkur1 to confirm the final outcome

Quotes_1aI forecast it 63% likely. It might happen.Quotes_1b

The China is coming so fast.





Category: Business

Tags: states, economy, china

My website: not yet

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Comments31 current forecasts

  • Default_profile_small_m1

    amild73 forecast it as 0% likely, 4 months ago

    Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie

  • Default_profile_small_m1

    ColinPeach forecast it as 100% likely, 5 months ago

    Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie

  • Default_profile_small_m1

    CuriousCrystal forecast it as 5% likely, 5 months ago

    Success rate: 8% | Status: Chump

    Quotes_2_aNo Collapse, just Muddle Through
    How do you define "collapse?" The Fed will do ANYTHING to keep the economy going. Just look what it has done already, with banks, autos, housing, etc. However, the Fed will be planting seeds of future distress, so recovery will take years. congress will, of course, make a difficult situation even worse.Quotes_2_b
  • Default_profile_small_m1

    miller2222 forecast it as 85% likely, 5 months ago

    Success rate: 20% | Status: Grasshopper

  • Default_profile_small_m2

    theIronMan forecast it as 5% likely, 5 months ago

    Success rate: 30% | Status: Fortune Cookie

  • Default_profile_small_m1

    Dr33mW33v3r forecast it as 93% likely, 5 months ago

    Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie

    Quotes_2_a
    it already is, we as the consciousness we realize its collapse for sure by 2010Quotes_2_b
  • Default_profile_small_m1

    aaronvsmith forecast it as 75% likely, 5 months ago

    Success rate: 10% | Status: Chump

  • Default_profile_small_m2

    Hilikus forecast it as 21% likely, 6 months ago

    Success rate: 16% | Status: Visionary

    Quotes_2_aReally?
    We still are a superpower. We will not collapse, and if we do we will have all ready begun rebuilding.Quotes_2_b
  • Default_profile_small_m2

    okdrl28 forecast it as 50% likely, 6 months ago

    Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie

  • 182

    HASHKAAN forecast it as 60% likely, 6 months ago

    Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie

  • Default_profile_small_m1

    moochie forecast it as 50% likely, 6 months ago

    Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie

  • Default_profile_small_m2

    thegreatkevste forecast it as 0% likely, 8 months ago

    Success rate: 22% | Status: Grasshopper

    Quotes_2_aPossible, but not probable
    Sure, things need to chage, but we have plenty of assets as well. There will need to be an entire paradigm shift from spending to saving, but the current ecomomic climate is most likely going to force that change without anyone being able to decide anyway. Things will get worse this year, then in mid 2010 we'lll start to come out of it.Quotes_2_b
  • Default_profile_small_m1

    matteo forecast it as 3% likely, 8 months ago

    Success rate: 20% | Status: Oracle

  • Default_profile_small_m2

    MiOtroBlog forecast it as 4% likely, 9 months ago

    Success rate: 28% | Status: Rookie With Moves

  • 122

    Tomwalked forecast it as 7% likely, 9 months ago

    Success rate: 10% | Status: Grasshopper

    Quotes_2_adepends on how you define "collapse".
    thing WILL change and are changing, but "collapse" is not likely. too many large corporations, and nations depend on America as a fiscal partner.Quotes_2_b
  • 128

    simpattyco forecast it as 55% likely, 11 months ago

    Success rate: 13% | Status: Grasshopper

    Quotes_2_aunfortunately yesQuotes_2_b


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GroupThe group forecast

Group forecast
36.0%
likelihood
from
31
forecasts

Undecided The outcome of this prediction is not yet known





  • Based on 31 forecasts
  • Bonus for group success: 310 Future Minutes
  • Ended: 21 Nov 2009, 20:43 PM (GMT +00:00)
  • Added: about 1 year ago





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