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Source: The whole pizza - Wikimedia

I forecast it 59% likely. 35% now, another 16% later?

Italian auto giant Fiat now own 35% of Chrysler. Is this the start of a move to take full control of the ailing US company?

From the NY Times:

Negotiators discussed giving Fiat the option to eventually increase its stake in Chrysler to 55 percent, giving it majority control, a person with knowledge of the talks said Monday. That would return Chrysler to foreign ownership

So does this mean more Italian cars coming to the US? Maserati, Alfa Romeo anyone?

Fiat could bring many of its compact innovations like the Punto, 500 Minicar, etc to the US market which would probably welcome in these times of expensive fuel prices. On the other hand Chrysler's own recent experience with the Daimler merger should also serve as an example of the possible lack of synergies between U.S. and European carmakers.

So, will Fiat go for the whole pizza or be happy with just a big slice?

• 

  thegreatkevste forecast it as 0% likely, 8 months ago

  Success rate: 22% | Status: Grasshopper

• 

  martin82 forecast it as 81% likely, 9 months ago

  Success rate: 18% | Status: Chump

• 

  Fusedhead forecast it as 100% likely, 9 months ago

  Success rate: 25% | Status: Chump

  You bet they will own it!
• 

  okamalo forecast it as 60% likely, 9 months ago

  Success rate: 25% | Status: Grasshopper

• 

  amild73 forecast it as 0% likely, 10 months ago

  Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie

• 

  simpattyco forecast it as 60% likely, 11 months ago

  Success rate: 13% | Status: Grasshopper

• 

  ghathaway3 forecast it as 22% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 20% | Status: Fortune Cookie

  They may control later in the year
  The US has always been Fiat's Achilles heel. It will be their downfall this time when they acquire Chrysler after it is too late to do anything about the company.
• 

  kayla8 forecast it as 58% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 11% | Status: Wonder Child

• 

  hermox forecast it as 70% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 25% | Status: Rookie With Moves

• 

  matteo forecast it as 35% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 20% | Status: Oracle

• 

  TheFatController forecast it as 50% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 5% | Status: Chump | My site

• 

  groupThink forecast it as 58% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 17% | Status: Chump

• 

  FunkyDrummer forecast it as 50% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 9% | Status: Fortune Cookie | My site | My Twitter page | My FriendFeed

• 

  MonkeyMagic forecast it as 59% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie

  35% now, another 16% later?

Group success! Based on 14 predictions the group forecasted this prediction correctly

• Based on 14 forecasts
• Final outcome: False (The event did not happen)
• Bonus for group success: 140 Future Minutes
• Ended: 01 Sep 2009, 18:00 PM (GMT +00:00)
• Added: about 1 year ago

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