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Source: ABC News

I forecast it 72% likely. Who wants it now?

After some close rangling with Microsoft in 2008, who really wants to buy Yahoo this year? More likely than not it will remain unsold in 2009. So who will it be? Google, Microsoft (anyway), or someone else? Or will will just bob along through the year all alone.

There are new rumors of talks with Microsoft, and the Microsoft CEO and Yahoo chairmain met in New York in early January. New Yahoo CEO Carol Bartz will have a challenge set out for her. They need to think TV and consider buying services like Hulu to tap the $70 billion TV market.

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  Dr33mW33v3r forecast it as 17% likely, 4 months ago

  Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie

  sellsellsell!!!
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  aaronvsmith forecast it as 0% likely, 5 months ago

  Success rate: 10% | Status: Chump

  if bing fails they may offer again next year
  probably next year!
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  xedxgex forecast it as 62% likely, 5 months ago

  Success rate: 43% | Status: Rookie With Moves

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  Hilikus forecast it as 69% likely, 6 months ago

  Success rate: 16% | Status: Visionary

  Most Likely
  Yahoo is huge in other country's like Japan. The only way is if Microsoft offers a great offer, that no man could refuse ;)
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  thegreatkevste forecast it as 71% likely, 8 months ago

  Success rate: 22% | Status: Grasshopper

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  matteo forecast it as 75% likely, 8 months ago

  Success rate: 20% | Status: Oracle

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  Fusedhead forecast it as 75% likely, 9 months ago

  Success rate: 25% | Status: Chump

• 

  andygalloway93 forecast it as 1% likely, 9 months ago

  Success rate: 16% | Status: Newbie

• 

  LeThaiDuong forecast it as 100% likely, 10 months ago

  Success rate: 25% | Status: Grasshopper

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  cshepherd forecast it as 70% likely, 10 months ago

  Success rate: 22% | Status: Rookie With Moves

• 

  FunkyDrummer forecast it as 80% likely, 11 months ago

  Success rate: 9% | Status: Fortune Cookie | My site | My Twitter page | My FriendFeed

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  Vicissitudes2 forecast it as 35% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 18% | Status: Grasshopper

• 

  graatz forecast it as 90% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 32% | Status: Rookie With Moves

• 

  MiOtroBlog forecast it as 82% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 28% | Status: Rookie With Moves

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  JayGodse forecast it as 25% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 18% | Status: Chump | My site

  Yahoo sold? Probably not.
  It's a question of valuation and opportunity cost for a buyer. I agree with the user FatController that TV is a huge market, and that Microsoft needs to focus on buying a play like Hulu or current.tv. They could pick up either of these at a fraction of what Yahoo would cost. Besides Microsoft, I don't think anybody else has a mandate to spend the $20 billion it would take to buy it. However, there is a small chance that Microsoft will wan
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  ghathaway3 forecast it as 36% likely, about 1 year ago

  Success rate: 20% | Status: Fortune Cookie

Group failure! Based on 27 predictions the group still forecasted this prediction incorrectly

• Based on 27 forecasts
• Final outcome: True (The event did take place as stated)
• Ended: 31 Dec 2009, 14:16 PM (GMT +00:00)
• Added: about 1 year ago

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